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Project 2.5ii.1 - Regional climate change projections for tropical rainforests

Project Leader:  Dr Penny Whetton, CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research

Project 2.5ii.1 will develop new high-resolution OzClim climate models for the North Queensland region to a spatial resolution of fifteen kilometres with multiple scenarios so that uncertainty in future climate change projections can be represented.  This Project is closely linked to Project 2.5i.1, which focuses on the effects of climate change on marine environments.

Project 2.5ii.1 has three key objectives:

  • to utilise the output of global climate models to prepare an assessment of the range of likely changes in climate means relevant to tropical rainforests, e.g. minimum and maximum temperature, humidity, rainfall, seasonality of rainfall, cloud base height, lapse rate and solar radiation;

  •  to provide fine resolution detail in projected climate change for the North Queensland region and enable an assessment to be made of how local topographical variations impact on the patterns of projected future climate change; and

  • to provide climate change data tailored for use in impact assessment and for more general MTSRF communications.

Project 2.5ii.1 Downloads

Project 2.5ii.1 CSIRO Ramasamy, S. (2007) Climate Change Projections for the Tropical Rainforest Region of North Queensland
Report prepared by the Climate Impacts and Risk Group, CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Science. This report outlines temperature and rainfall projections for the tropical rainforest region of far northern Queensland based on simulations performed for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report invovling twenty-three global climate models (GCMs). [pdf 722.1 kb]


Project 2.5ii.1 CSIRO Thatcher, M. et al (2007) Regional climate downscaling for the Marine and Tropical Sciences Research Facility (MTSRF) between 1971 and 2000
Report by CSIRO researchers which describes the results of downscaling of regional climate statistics for the MTSRF, using CSIRO's Conformal Cubic Atmospheric Model and Mk3 model. [pdf 741.5 kb]


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