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Project 2.5i.4 - Tools to support resilience-based management in the face of climate change

Project Leader:  Dr Scott Wooldridge, Australian Institute of Marine Science 

In order to effectively manage the resources of the Great Barrier Reef under climate change, information from many sources must be integrated in such a way that the risks faced and how they vary through time and space can be made explicit.  A critical step in meeting this challenge, therefore, is the development of spatially explicit, sub-regional scale information about the risks posed by climate change and variability in resilience.  Once these risks are understood, it is then necessary to build management tools that facilitate the optimum use of management resources under conditions of considerable uncertainty.

Project 2.5i.4 has three objectives which will enable it to make considerable advances beyond our current understanding of the risks of climate change and how best to manage these resources in the face of climate change:

  • an atlas of climate change risk and resilience for the Great Barrier Reef social-ecological system;

  • integrative knowledge for prioritising management responses to climate change; and

  • a participatory assessment of socio-economic risks from climate change.

The research in this project has been developed in close collaboration with managers who need this information and tools.  These managers will be part of this project throughout to ensure the outputs produced maximise potential outcomes for more effective management of the Great Barrier Reef.

Project 2.5i.4 Downloads

Project 2.5i.4 AIMS Wooldridge, S. (2008) Regional Scale Coral Bleaching Predictions for the Great Barrier Reef
A project milestone report describing the downscaling methodology developed to enable GCM-scale scenarios of future SST to be interpreted as a regional-scale coral bleaching threat on the Great Barrier Reef Australia. [pdf 1.3 Mb]


Project 2.5i.4 AIMS Wooldridge, S. (2007) Linking land-use change scenarios with predicted water quality improvements within the GBR lagoon
A project progress report outlining modelling methodology that enables end-of-river values of DIN to be spatially extrapolated across the inner-shelf region of the Great Barrier Reef lagoon. Importantly this allows the end-of-river outcomes of modelled land-use improvement scenarios to be tested for their relevance in terms of improving inshore reef water quality. [pdf 1.8 Mb]


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